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China and emerging markets face trillion-dollar bond payments

Higher US interest rates add to debt burden and hinder refinancing

China's post-financial-crisis debt binge is catching up with it, with $1.75 trillion of bonds due for repayment in the next three years.
China's post-financial-crisis debt binge is catching up with it, with $1.75 trillion of bonds due for repayment in the next three years. (Photo by Keiichiro Asahara)

TOKYO -- Emerging markets, chiefly in China, are on the hook for about $1 trillion worth of bond redemptions per year from 2018 through 2020 as heavy post-financial-crisis borrowing catches up with debtors, and climbing U.S. interest rates will make refinancing expensive.

In the next three years, $3.23 trillion worth of bonds in emerging markets will mature, according to Dealogic, with corporate bonds comprising about 90% and sovereign debts around 10%. The total will hit a record $891.9 billion this year and grow to $1.1 trillion in 2019 and $1.2 trillion in 2020. The roughly $1 trillion annual rate is nearly double the tally from three years ago.

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