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2018 may bring surprises for bulls and bears alike

Analysts see chance of Nikkei 30,000, BOJ backing off easing, Toyota buying Tesla

The Tokyo Stock Exchange reorganized the previous four market sections into three new ones.

TOKYO -- Japan analysts' annual lists of unlikely-but-possible predictions suggest that 2018 could prove eventful for markets in ways both good and bad.

The tradition started with Byron Wien, a vice chairman at U.S.-based Blackstone Group, who has announced 10 surprises for the coming year -- events that others dismiss as unlikely but for which he sees at least 50-50 odds -- every year since 1986. Past predictions that proved prescient include the bursting of the tech stock bubble in 2000 and a U.S. recession in 2008.

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