20241213 BOJ trading asia

Initially, BOJ Gov. Kazuo Ueda's remarks in an interview with Nikkei on Nov. 28 were taken as signaling a December rate hike, then they were reinterpreted as a plea for patience. (Source photos by Mizuho Miyazaki and Akira Kodaka)

Market players struggle to decipher an indecisive BOJ

As Gov. Ueda signals patience on rate hikes, analysts question his rationale

TOKYO -- Two weeks ago, close to 70% of market players expected the Bank of Japan to raise rates this month. By last week, less than one in five had such expectations, with most predicting a rate hike to 0.5% at the following meeting, on Jan. 23-24.

The latest bout of uncertainty was sparked by BOJ Gov. Kazuo Ueda himself. In an interview with Nikkei on Nov. 28, the 73-year-old chief said the next rate hikes are "nearing" but also that he still wants to check on the momentum toward wage hikes next year and the pricing trends outside large corporations.

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