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Economy

China's population to start to shrink before 2025: Global Times

State-backed media cites forecast by senior health official

A resident at Heyuejia, a care home for the elderly, in Beijing. China is battling to reverse a rapid shrinkage in natural population growth   © Reuters

HONG KONG (Reuters) -- China's population growth rate has slowed significantly and is expected to turn negative ahead of 2025, the state-backed Global Times reported, citing a senior health official.

Birth data released late on Sunday showed that the number of new births in 2021 was the lowest in decades in several provinces.

The number of births in the central Hunan Province fell below 500,000 for the first time in nearly 60 years, the Global Times said. Only China's southern Guangdong Province had more than 1 million new births, it said.

China is battling to reverse a rapid shrinkage in the natural population growth rate -- the difference between the birth and death rates -- as many young people opt not to have children due to factors including the high cost of rearing children and the pressures of work.

China's population is expected to start to shrink in 2021-2025, the Global Times said, citing Yang Wenzhuang, the head of population and family affairs at the National Health Commission.

A change in China’s laws last year to allow women to have three children has not helped, with many women saying the change comes too late and they have insufficient job security and gender equality.

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