Fuzzy math strains Japan's balanced budget goals

Government outlook pushes back primary surplus by two years to fiscal 2027

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Japan's rosy economic growth estimates could delay necessary belt-tightening in the government.

MASAHARU TATENO, Nikkei staff writer

TOKYO -- Japan will not generate a primary budget surplus until fiscal 2027, the Cabinet Office said Wednesday, walking back the most recent estimate projecting fiscal parity a year earlier.

This means that the government will miss its goal of achieving a primary balance by two years. The government's fiscal 2025 target, as well as the Cabinet Office's January estimate predicting a fiscal 2026 primary surplus, both relied on exceedingly optimistic economic growth estimates, necessitating reassessments.

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