IMF slashes China, US, global growth forecasts on trade war

Chinese economy to expand 4% this year, a full point below government target

20250422 imf outlook

International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks in Washington ahead of the IMF/World Bank Spring Meetings on April 17. © Reuters

CK TAN

TOKYO -- The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday lowered its 2025 growth forecasts for the world and its two largest economies, as the global trading system undergoes what the lender described as a historic "reset" triggered by U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff policy.

The U.S. economy is now expected to grow 1.8% this year, nine-tenths of a percentage point lower than the previous forecast in January, the IMF said at its annual spring meetings with the World Bank. Higher tariffs are forecast to cost four-tenths of a point, the fund said.

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