Will Japan's tax hike hurt? Government and economists disagree

Official outlook sees 1.2% growth in fiscal 2020, but outsiders say 0.5%

20190730 JAPAN-ECONOMY/CONSUMPTION

The Cabinet Office sees consumer spending increasing 1% in fiscal 2020, compared with private-sector forecasts averaging 0.3%. © Reuters

MARIKO HIRANO, Nikkei staff writer

TOKYO -- Japan's first official economic forecast for fiscal 2020 paints a significantly rosier picture than private-sector predictions as the government downplays concerns ahead of a consumption tax hike this October.

Real gross domestic product will increase by 1.2% in fiscal 2020, the Cabinet Office said Monday. It foresees improvements in employment and pay, as well as stable consumer spending and capital investment. The government forecast projects nominal growth at 2% given the effect a higher consumption tax would have on prices.

Sponsored Content

About Sponsored ContentThis content was commissioned by Nikkei's Global Business Bureau.