Big shift in China policy unlikely whoever wins Taiwan election

Next president will face major domestic and external constraints

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Supporters of KMT candidate Hou Yu-ih at a campaign event in New Taipei City on Jan. 3: Most Taiwanese see friendly relations with China as essential. © Reuters

John Fuh-sheng Hsieh is a professor of political science at the University of South Carolina and co-editor of the book "Democratic Governance in Taiwan."

For many voters in Taiwan and for most foreign observers awaiting the results of the island's elections next weekend, cross-Strait relations is the central issue.

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