Coronavirus overreaction risks disrupting business far beyond China

World now more dependent on Chinese high-end manufacturing

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20200210 Dongfeng Honda Wuhan.jpg

The third plant of Dongfeng Honda in Wuhan, pictured in November 2019: widespread precautionary shutdowns are often not sensible in the long-run. © AP

Hopes that China will return to work this week appear dashed as factory gates remain locked and authorities struggle to halt the coronavirus. This will dent China's growth -- but it also suggests the virus's international economic implications could be more far-reaching than many realize.

Pandemics have cut output in multiple ways. Tourism is one, as visitors busily cancel Asian trips. Consumption is another, with shops and restaurants closed. Globally, however, the most significant hit will come from shocks to international supply chains.

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