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Russia's invading Ukraine will provoke a forcible response

Muscle flexing aside, Vladimir Putin is highly unlikely to launch a war

| Russia & Caucasus
Ukrainian soldiers walk past a destroyed house in Marinka, Ukraine, on Dec. 8. Ukraine cannot afford to become complacent.   © Getty Images

Ian Bremmer is the president of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media and author of "Us vs. Them: The Failure of Globalism."

Russia has moved nearly 100,000 soldiers into position near its border with Ukraine over the past several weeks. If that were not ominous enough, Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has said his security services have uncovered evidence of a coup plot against his government that is backed by Russia.

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