The very real risks of a dangerous confrontation with China

Nobody wants war, but the uncomfortable truth is that it is increasingly possible

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20210331 Chinese vessels Whitsun Reef.jpg

Chinese vessels anchored the Whitsun Reef in the South China Sea on Mar. 23: China has saturated the area. © Maxar Technologies/AP

Alexander Neill runs a strategic advisory consultancy in Singapore, with 20 years of experience focusing on Indo-Pacific security and geopolitics.

Twenty years ago today, a Chinese fighter jet collided with a U.S. Navy spy plane patrolling close to China's Hainan Island in the South China Sea.

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