A protracted Taiwan war likely to favor U.S. over China, analysts say

But an election win by Trump, who advocates America-first policy, seen as risk to Taipei

Ukrainian tanks conduct a military exercise amid the war with Russia. U.S. analysts increasingly think China will be unable to sustain a protracted war like Moscow's invasion of Ukraine. © Reuters

KEN MORIYASU, Nikkei Asia diplomatic correspondent

November 30, 2023 06:55 JST

WASHINGTON -- There is a growing recognition among American policymakers that a potential conflict with China over Taiwan could become protracted and that such a war likely would favor the U.S., according to experts who are following the issue.

Political scientist Iskander Rehman projects an extended U.S.-China conflict in a just-published book, "Planning for Protraction," whose research was partly funded by the U.S. Defense Department's Office of Net Assessment.