Xi's playbook for China is different from what U.S. thinks, scholars say

Taiwan, tech and nuclear policies all related to domestic politics

20240206 China air defense system

A model of the LY-70 air defense missile weapon system is displayed at Airshow China in Zhuhai, China in 2021. Beijing's military buildup is partly aimed at convincing the U.S. to accept China as a major power, analysts say.   © Reuters

KEN MORIYASU, Nikkei Asia diplomatic correspondent

WASHINGTON -- When Adm. Philip Davidson told Congress in March 2021 that China may take military action against Taiwan "in the next six years," 2027 became known as the "Davidson timeline." The words of the then-leader of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command were perceived to be based on intelligence and dominated the discussions in Washington.

Last week, U.S. President Joe Biden's pick to be the next Indo-Pacom commander, Adm. Samuel Paparo, told Congress that the 2027 timeline is "nothing other than the 100th anniversary of the People's Liberation Army," and that the U.S. military, in general, always must be ready to respond.

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