China's drills against Taiwan likely 'preordained' with 'room to escalate'

Experts see key differences from 2022 exercises as military-civilian lines 'blur'

20240524 taiwan drills

Taiwan Air Force F-16s conduct a patrol mission at an undisclosed location near Taiwan on May 23, amid high tensions over China's military drills. (Taiwan Defense Ministry via Reuters)

THOMPSON CHAU, Contributing writer

TAIPEI -- China's military exercises on Thursday and Friday were only the latest step in a monthslong effort to build pressure on Taiwan's new President Lai Ching-te, analysts said, as Beijing's forces practiced mock missile attacks and other operations.

The People's Liberation Army drills were "preordained, in that although Beijing is depicting them as a necessary reaction to President Lai's comments during his inauguration, the Chinese leadership was always going to find something that displeases it and therefore 'compels' it to react," said Taipei-based security analyst J. Michael Cole.

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