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The odds against 'Ahok' in Jakarta's election runoff

Rival Baswedan has 'upper hand' with religious, Yudhoyono factors

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Jakarta Gov. Basuki Tjahaja "Ahok" Purnama waves to the crowd at a music concert, ahead of February's gubernatorial election.   © Reuters

JAKARTA Despite his slight lead in early projections of the Jakarta gubernatorial election first round, the odds are stacked against incumbent Gov. Basuki Tjahaja "Ahok" Purnama winning a likely runoff in April.

Purnama finished first with 43% of the votes in the first round on Feb. 15, according to most unofficial "quick count" projections by local pollsters, which are based on samples from polling stations. Former Education Minister Anies Baswedan followed closely with 40%, while Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono, son of former President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, trailed on 17%.

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