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Ukraine war

One week into Ukraine invasion, Russian analysts weigh the costs

Unexpected Japan and Taiwan sanctions seen biting into industry

An area of central Kharkiv lies in ruins after what authorities said was a missile attack on March 1. Russian experts say the violence risks turning any remaining pro-Moscow Ukrainians against them.   © Reuters

MOSCOW -- Russian President Vladimir Putin's decision to invade Ukraine did not come out of nowhere. Yet when the missiles fired and the armored convoys rolled, much of the Russian foreign policy establishment appeared caught off guard.

Many experts had believed the buildup was a bluff to extract concessions from Washington. Parts of Russia's business elite shared this hope, fearing the economic fallout from new Western penalties.

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