20240314 market spotlight

Surprisingly generous pay raises at some of Japan's biggest corporations might have finally persuaded the Bank of Japan to start moving away from its unconventional monetary policy. (Nikkei montage/Akira Kodaka, Yuji Murakami, and pool)

Japan's wage hikes create game-changing inflation dynamic as BOJ meets

Market braces for comprehensive overhaul of the central bank's monetary policy

TOKYO -- Last week's paradigm shift -- big Japanese corporations promising record pay raises -- has lifted hopes that the country's ever-cautious employers have finally stopped economizing on salaries. The new dynamic came after three decades of low inflation and nominal wage growth, and days before a Bank of Japan policy meeting at which a possible overhaul is now firmly on the table.

About a month ago, 17% of market players and economists expected the central bank to shift its policy in the meeting starting Monday. That figure this month raced past 50%, according to a Nikkei survey, as optimism mounted that the corporate promises would bring wage growth higher than inflation.

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