Will Xi move on Taiwan? History warns he might: Niall Ferguson

After Afghanistan, Chinese leader may conclude US won't intervene, scholar says

20210908NY CHINA MILITARY guy jumping through a ring

A soldier from the Chinese People's Liberation Army jumps through a ring of fire during a military exercise in Shihezi, Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region. China may interpret the Biden administration's abandonment of Afghanistan as a "signal that they probably won't fight over anything," historian Niall Ferguson warns. © Reuters

MIKIO SUGENO, Nikkei Washington bureau chief

WASHINGTON -- The abrupt U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, and the American public's quickly fading support for military endeavors in the greater Middle East, could send the wrong message to Beijing and push it to take action in Taiwan, historian Niall Ferguson told Nikkei in an interview.

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